Annual Report and Accounts 2010



Non-core and discontinued business operations

US Life

Life sales summary

APE sales at $143 million increased by 34% relative to the comparative period. Fixed indexed annuities, which represent more than half of the total APE, increased 30% in 2010 compared to 2009. The increase was driven by product revisions and competitive annuity rates. The sales levels are within the range set for the business and reflect the approach to managing capital within the business. Our top 10 annuity distribution partners who have represented an average of 60% of our total sales volume over the past five years grew sales collectively by 62% in 2010.

IFRS results

The IFRS pre-tax profit for the year for the US Life business was $50 million (2009: loss of $195 million), with financial performance benefiting from lower impairment losses and the reversal of prior impairments, partially offset by higher deferred policy acquisition costs amortisation as a result of higher gross profits.

Value of new business

The value of new business decreased by $66 million relative to the comparative period. The decrease in VNB was mainly due to the extended low yield environment and a lower assumed liquidity premium. The negative VNB position is largely the result of the MCEV basis used, where credit spreads in addition to the liquidity premium are not valued in the determination of MCEV, but shown as earnings when earned. Although we believe that the VNB is positive on an EEV basis, the negative figure on the MCEV basis quantifies the extent to which the business would rely on earning credit spreads in order to provide the guarantees underwritten. Management actions taken during the period included lowering commission rates and increasing bonus on certain products, which improved consumer value.

MCEV results

The 2010 operating MCEV earnings after tax of $72 million decreased significantly relative to the comparative period. This was mainly due to the 2009 expected returns being based off higher asset yields, higher credit spreads and a very depressed starting position. The persistency assumption changes of Universal Life insurance plans (UL) and Return of Premium term insurance plans (ROP) also contributed to the lower MCEV operating earnings. Operating experience variances were higher than 2009. Fixed Indexed Annuity (FIA) contributed most to the favourable result in 2010. The positive variance of FIA was primarily due to higher than expected surrenders of FIA contracts that are unprofitable on an MCEV basis, while in 2009, the positive impact from higher than expected surrenders were more than offset by the negative impact from lower than expected interest margins.

MCEV increased by $220 million over the year. In addition to the effects above, other significant movements affecting the closing MCEV were the variances related to the change in economic conditions, largely due to reduced risk-free rates and lower credit spreads, partially offset by the liquidity premium reducing from 100 bps to 75 bps.

Funds under management

Funds under management ended the year at $17.2 billion, up $0.5 billion from the opening position, primarily due to a $0.8 billion increase in the market value of the investment portfolio for the year and increased net investment income. Net client cash flows improved by 47% in 2010 compared to 2009 primarily due to lower surrender activity and higher sales in 2010. Net cash and short term holdings at 31 December 2010 were $630 million.

Investment portfolio

The net unrealised position on the fixed income security portfolio improved to a net gain of $309 million at 31 December 2010 ($497 million net unrealised loss at 31 December 2009 and $138 million net unrealised gain at 30 June 2010). Although the increase in Treasury yields during the fourth quarter of 2010 negatively affected the net unrealised position, as credit spreads were tighter overall on a year-on-year basis, the unrealised position improved compared to the prior year. In addition, management undertook selective de-risking of the investment portfolio. As at 31 December 2010, $546 million of the total $551 million of the specified securities in the stock purchase agreement with Harbinger Capital Partners had been sold at terms better than those expected on signing of the sale agreement. The remaining $5 million of specified securities have been sold since the year end.

The quality of the investment portfolio improved throughout the year and 92% of the total portfolio had a market-to-book value ratio greater than 90% at the end of 2010. The market to book value ratio of the fixed income portfolio improved from 97% at the beginning of the year to 102% at 31 December 2010.

There were no defaults in 2010. Net realised gains in 2010 of $19 million include $22 million of trading gains on previously impaired securities that had recovered in fair value and $70 million of losses realised on the sale of securities in anticipation of the sale of the company. US Life also generated $64 million of net gains on de-risking trades during favourable market conditions. Expected cash flows on certain previously impaired structured securities improved significantly in 2010, resulting in $54 million of revaluation gains. These revaluation gains were partially offset by impairments.

During 2010, IFRS impairments were $50 million, generally in line with our long-term assumption of $48 million, and compared to $389 million in 2009. The 2010 impairments on 42 securities related primarily to structured securities, with the losses due to adverse changes in expected cash flows, or the likelihood of diminished loss coverage from distressed monoline insurers that guaranteed the performance of the security. The impairment losses were primarily in RMBS ($30 million), ABS ($8 million), and CMBS ($6 million).

Capital

OM Financial Life's risk-based capital ratio increased from 312% as at 31 December 2009 to 350% as at 31 December 2010. Regulatory capital grew $83 million during 2010 driven by strong statutory operating earnings. OM Financial Life's required capital decreased (at the targeted 300% level) primarily due to a lower risk investment portfolio offset by capital required for new business growth. The US Life Group distributed a total of $109 million to Old Mutual plc in 2010 comprising of $59 million from OM Financial Life Insurance Company and $50 million from OM Re.

Bermuda

As disclosed in our Preliminary Results in March 2010, Bermuda remains a non-core business, and as such its profits are therefore excluded from the Group's IFRS adjusted operating profit. A review of the operating performance of Bermuda is set out below:

Overview

The business continued to perform well against its strategy with significant enhancements delivered in 2010 including business service improvements, further enhancements to liability management and to management information to improve the dynamic management of exposures and further de-risk the Guaranteed Minimum Accumulation Benefits (GMABs) attached to certain of the in-force variable annuities.

Surrender activity in 2010 occurred largely in respect of variable annuity contracts without GMABs, with the business instituting a focused conservation strategy supported by high customer interaction in order to retain as much of this profitable business as possible. Surrender behaviour with respect to variable annuity contracts with GMABs is directly influenced by the differential between the value of the underlying funds and the nominal level of the guarantee, as well as the financial circumstances of the policyholder. The recovery across global equity markets, particularly in the fourth-quarter in 2010, resulted in an increase in the number of contracts where the underlying fund values were greater than the level of the guarantee. This resulted in a sharp increase in the levels of contracts with GMABs surrendering in the fourth quarter of 2010, with overall surrender activity across GMAB contracts for the year at close to double 2009 levels (2010: 1,211 policies; 2009: 638 policies). Further gains across global equity markets in 2011 would be expected to result in increased levels of surrenders across variable annuity contracts with GMABs, accelerating the run-off of these contracts. Ultimately, surrender activity will determine the speed of the run-off and the extent and timing of any associated capital, or cash release for this business. In February 2011, the business launched an offer to account holders with non-Hong Kong UGO contracts permitting them to surrender their contracts without incurring penalties. The special offer increased the rate and number of surrenders across this book, further de-risking the business. The take-up rate was 6.2% at 4 March 2011. Management will continue to assess demand for similar such offers in the future.

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